Encore Capital Group Stock Performance

ECPG Stock  USD 58.41  0.33  0.57%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Encore Capital holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.82, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Encore Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Encore Capital is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Encore Capital's potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Encore Capital's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Encore Capital Group are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, Encore Capital reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.57
Five Day Return
2.19
Year To Date Return
4.47
Ten Year Return
168.8
All Time Return
525.12
1
Disposition of 1423 shares by Olle Laura of Encore Capital at 52.79 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
2
Disposition of 2500 shares by Ryan Bell of Encore Capital at 55.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/10/2025
3
Analysts Set Encore Capital Group Inc Price Target at 61.67
12/24/2025
4
Encore Capital Group Rating Lowered to Hold at Zacks Research
01/07/2026
5
ECPG Encore Capital Grs Price Target Raised to 75.00 by Citiz - GuruFocus
01/20/2026
6
Assessing Encore Capital Group Valuation After Renewed Analyst Optimism
01/22/2026
7
Does Renewed Analyst Optimism on Encore Capital Group Hint at a Deeper Competitive Edge
01/23/2026
8
Acquisition by Gupta Ashwini of 725 shares of Encore Capital at 37.9 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2026
9
Encore Capital Group stock hits 52-week high at 57.84 USD - Investing.com
02/06/2026
10
PROG Holdings Q4 Earnings Top Estimates
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow158.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-440.4 M

Encore Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,950  in Encore Capital Group on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  891.00  from holding Encore Capital Group or generate 18.0% return on investment over 90 days. Encore Capital Group is currently generating 0.2864% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.4394% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Encore, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Encore Capital is expected to generate 1.93 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.93 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Encore Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Encore Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 58.41 90 days 58.41 
about 7.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Encore Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.42 (This Encore Capital Group probability density function shows the probability of Encore Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Encore Capital has a beta of 0.82 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Encore Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Encore Capital Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Encore Capital Group has an alpha of 0.192, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Encore Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Encore Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Encore Capital Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.0458.4859.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.5764.4665.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.6259.0660.49
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
57.0362.6769.56
Details

Encore Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Encore Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Encore Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Encore Capital Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Encore Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
2.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Encore Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Encore Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Encore Capital Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (139.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.56 B.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PROG Holdings Q4 Earnings Top Estimates

Encore Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Encore Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Encore Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Encore Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments199.9 M

Encore Capital Fundamentals Growth

Encore Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Encore Capital, and Encore Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Encore Stock performance.

About Encore Capital Performance

By analyzing Encore Capital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Encore Capital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Encore Capital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Encore Capital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand(85.71)(89.99)
Return On Tangible Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.04 
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.21)(0.20)

Things to note about Encore Capital Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Encore Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Encore Capital Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (139.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.56 B.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PROG Holdings Q4 Earnings Top Estimates
Evaluating Encore Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Encore Capital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Encore Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Encore Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Encore Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Encore Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Encore Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Encore Capital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Encore Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Encore Capital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Encore Capital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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